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April 30, 2005
MAY 5TH SOUTHY
JUTE GONE TO MAINE UNTIL THE 9TH OF MAY. JUTECAST WILL RETURN THE 10TH OF MAY. CATCH LOTS OF WAVES!!!
FUN SESSION AT ONE OF MY FAVORITE OUTSIDE WAVES. HH'S ABOUT 5FT ON THE SETS AND PEELING RIGHTS AND LEFTS...A GREAT DEPARTURE GIFT FROM THE WAVES GODS. NOW BACK TO THE HOMELAND OF MAINE AND A JUMP INTO THE ATLANTIC.
SUMMARY...GOOD SURF FOR ALL SHORES FOR MOST OF THE EARLY WEEK. A MODERATE NORTH SWELL FOR MONDAY AND THEN A LARGE SOUTH SWELL WILL POUND SOUTHERN SHORES IN THE DOUBLE OVERHEAD RANGE.
SUNDAY...solid swell will continue for all shores. north shore will see a reinforcement later in the day which will boost waves back to the 5ft catagorey by nightfall. southern shores will stay steady for the day and even increase up a notch as the day goes by. expect southern shores to remain solid for the day and possible foreunners of the next swell episode by dark. winds will remain light once again creating epic conditions for the morning.
judging from swell reports and forecasts and marine charts all i can say is that the first large south swell of the season will arrive on may 4th and peak on the 5th with models predicting waveheights of near 6ft on the sets.
the swell was generated over the last few days from a storm near new zealand that formed just southwest of the south islands. the storm gained strength and produced wind speeds near 50mph over a small fetch, however sustanined winds of around 40mph were maintained over a much broader fetch area that extended nearly 1200mn. this is genrally the key ingrediant for strong south swells. as the fetch grew the system moved north-northeastward in the direction of hawaii over two days. again another key ingrediant for south swells. although the swell heights did not reach the red on the charts, the swell was produced over a three to four day span of time which will insure that the swell will be arounf for at least four days.
by the afternoon of the 4th forerunners of this swell episode will have arrived and waves will increase rapidly (for south shore standards)that afternoon and into the night. waves will arrive out of 190-200deg with initial wave periods in the 17-20sec energy band. as the shorter period waves arrive consistency will increase and waves should stay in the 4-5ft range with possible 6ft+ sets at places that refract long period swells. i wouldn't be surprised to hear reports of 8ft sets at places like brown's.
Posted by megaprober at April 30, 2005 08:21 PM