August 11, 2005
8/12
FRIDAY...small waves island wide once again as the lack of swell continues. waves will be flat to 1ft on most shores, however there is some energy registering in the 13-15sec bands on the buoys. with buoy 1, 2,3, and the waimea buoy all showing this energy my guess is that this is an episode caused by the last major typhoon in the west pacific. the waimea buoy and buoy 1 are showing the direction of the swell to be 280-300deg which is the swell window for the typoons when they are generally at their strongest. i expect that waves along shorelines exposed to this swell will see infrequent sets in the head high range tomorrow. windward shores and shouthern shores wil see small waves in the knee to chest high range. winds will blow out of the east-northeast.
20 days left until september 1st.
SHORT TERM FORECAST
surf will continue to be small, weak and gutless for the next 5 days. there is some relief in site however. downunder a semi-powerful storm looks to form east of new zealand in an opportune window for hawaii. the storm looks to form late sunday and continue cranking until sometime on wednesday. with winds in excess of 40+mph and a fairly good fetch of around 600nm this could translate into waves along southern shores late next weekend. as with models that far in advance i'll know more when the next forecast comes out on friday or saturday. the tropics of the east pacific are looking to start popping off in the models as well with at least two storms firing up over the next 7 days. with hurricanes i rarely believe the models so take this with a grain of salt. finally the north pacific lookd to form a gyre in far northwestern pacific hugging the aleutian islands later this weekend . with a sizable fetch aimed at hawaii and winds of near 30mph our first north swellcould roll in next week. it won't be much, but anything will do at this point.
Posted by megaprober at August 11, 2005 10:05 PM
Comments
i expect that waves along shorelines exposed to this swell will see infrequent sets in the head high range tomorrow
Posted by: joe at August 14, 2005 09:52 PM