August 07, 2005
8/7
MONDAY...surf will generally be produced from windswell blowing both locally and upstream of the islands. with the approach of the remanants of tropical depression 1-C the trades may back off briefly for the tomorrow. although this could just as easily not happen as the tropical wave seems to have completely dissapated after encountering the big island and dropping 3-5in of rain on the windward side. as of this writing the winds are noisily blowing outside so i'm 50/50 on this call. in any case expect smaller windswell on the eastern shores. if you find a tree footer on the windward side you've done good. with the smaller wave periods expect less wrap on northern and southern shores.
23 days left until september 1st.
SHORT TERM FORECAST
surf will generally be produced from windswell blowing both locally and upstream of the islands. as the dominant weather feature known as the east pacific high weakens and moves east due to an approaching low pressure in the northeast pacific. as the low pressure system erodes the north pacific high upstream trade winds will back down a bit and thus result in lesser swell. the north pacific is in full summer time mode with any storm systems hanging high up in the latitudes above the aleutian islands so no surf from this area for at least five days. the deep south is seeing some activity, however, the one potential area of wave generation is too far east in the south pacific and the swell will be better aimed at south america. even due to angular dispersion i don't see anything making its way to hawaii from downunder. the tropics of the east pacific seem to be trying to come alive and some weather models are showing blips of wave activity in the east pacific. as a rule of thumb when it comes to hurricanes and weather models the models always change from day to day.
Posted by megaprober at August 7, 2005 11:10 PM