August 15, 2005
8/15
NEXT DAY UPDATE
TUESDAY...meager surf to continue with waist high on southern shores and waist high chop on windwrd shores. buoys are all showing typical tradewind swell with 6ft waveheights and wave periods of 6-8sec. with the trades continually blowing 10-20mph both upstream and locally, this is expected and will continue throught the forecast period of the next 5 days. there are other sources of energy. one being the tropical east pacific with tropical storms greg and fernanda both of which had short bursts of energy then fizzled. nothing expected tomorrow from these storms, however they may send some scraps later in the week from the east-southeast. tomorrow expect similar conditions as today 1-2ft in town and at the head with off-shore on town and classic head conditions with side shore chop.
14 days left until september 1st.
SHORT TERM FORECAST
as mentioned earlier there isn't much in the way of storm systems on the immediate horizon. the most likely source of energy will arrive from the south-southwest over the weekend with a possible swell being generated in the tasman sea. these swells are often blocked by the many erratic islands of the south pacific so odds are against anything larger than head high. another possible source is a week storm in the northwest pacific later in the week. this storm has the characteristics of a typical winter storm, but like mini me it is 1/8th the size. weak storms in the northwest pacific don't do much for hawaii as the waves on the north shore need to be large before anything really starts to break. lastly, the tropics are really coming alive and the models are showing a powerful tropical storm forming off of central america, but as i've said it before and i'll say it again the tropics are very difficult for wave models to make sense of. i practice my right to "believe it when i see it" for tropicl storm swells.
Posted by megaprober at August 15, 2005 10:50 PM