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September 27, 2005
9/28
WEDNESDAY...surf will generally be what you'd expect for this time of the year. a small northwesterly swell will start to show tonight and stay around producing head high surf at best at the standout spots. as with most swells out of the north this time of the year this swell will come and go quickly and by the afternoon tomorrow should have done its thing. surf along the southern shores will be near head high at the usual spots with a combo of trade and southerly energy. the current south swell will hang around and keep surf near 2ft for the remainder of the week. trades are back with a vengence and look to be there tomorrow cranking in the 15-25mph range.
5-DAY OUTLOOK
the upcoming end of the week is filled with weak and wannabe swells. the small northerly pulses tonight and friday respectably will be mere small bumps that will keep only the most persistent of spots from being flat. the storm track in the north pacific has yet to really come south out of the bearing sea and the aleutian island chain. as the jetstream continues to hover way to the north storms in the associated area insufficiant to cover the neccessary water to maintain a good fetch to produce anything more than weak swells with small intermittent waves. the swell due to arrive friday will sweep in out of 345deg and come from a system that is currently aiming to the east of the island chain hence we are goig to see only scraps from this one as the main swath misses hawaii to the east.
the southern shores are keeping the faith as small yet persistent southerly juice continues to plague the south shores. most of the swells arriving from the south was generated over a week ago from a system that formed east of new zealand and gained the minimal strength to provide hawaii with a small swell. this system directed waves toward central america so again hawaii is near th western fringe of the main swell path. later in the forecast period another dose of juice will arrive from an area west of new zealand and due to the unpredicable nature of these swells surf may or may not actually arrive as forecasted. many islands block and shadow us along the way.
in the eastern pacific tropical storms have been flaring up and have progressed as far as the central pacific. because the water just east of hawaii drops a couple of degrees hurricanes can't seem to keep their strength and have thus far dissapated and moved north of hawaii. the latest system kenneth did reach impressive speeds at one point, but now only remanents exist. kenneth looks to move in the direction of hawaii and at present time may even go over the island chain. however, due to it having dissipated the only affects will be a break in the trades and possibly some rain. any swell gnerated from kenneth will be difficult to distinguish as the trade winds have returned and brought the tradewind swells with them.
looking ahead there may be another large southy on the way...possibly nearing warning levels. although not quite as big as the one earlier this month it may hit 6ft at select spots.
Posted by megaprober at September 27, 2005 07:39 PM