August 31, 2007
SATURDAY...a new pulse has shown up ahead of schedual along southern shores.
southern buoys are all showing an increase in both wave periods and waveheights. the swell is the product of second storm sytem east of new zealand that formed on the heels of the system that produced the swell earlier in the week. this system was a tad stronger but aimed better toward the americas ao it is likely that hawaii is receiveing the western edge of the swell. buoy 4 is registering more energy than the more western buoy 2 which confirms the above statement.
surf should increase overnight and produce solid three foot surf in the morning with marginal conditions depending on the winds.
Posted by megaprober at 06:23 PM
August 30, 2007
FRIDAY...south shore will continue to receive energy from the south as the final phase of the current south swell moves through the islands. energy levels at the southern buoys has dropped slightly from yesturday.
models are showing that a possible reinforcement will arrive on friday into the weekend pushing surf into the head high or slightly larger catagory.
for friday look for surf in the 1-3ft range at most reefs with the odd larger set at select spots. winds should be ok at the usual spots.
Posted by megaprober at 06:59 PM
August 24, 2007
have fun
SATURDAY...a small jolt of southerly swell moved in secretly on friday pushing surf near the 3ft catagory.
recent buoy observations are showing an upward trend that occured on friday and are holding into friday night. this swell may have already peaked and will likely be on the way down for those expecting surf in the morning.
what you can expect is packed lineups with word of mouth spreading tonight and every aggro surfer that considers themself a south shore charger to be "on it" in the morning with mouth agape and calling everybody off their waves. unfortunately, the waves will prove smaller and nearly gutless with most real surfers letting go and aticipating the first real swell for the north shore, which unfortunately won't be for at least two weeks.
the call is for great winds in the morning with aggro surfers and insanely packed lineups...oh yeah your so called secret south shore spot that is good when there is no winds will have plenty new faces in the lineup. cheers.
Posted by megaprober at 07:08 PM
August 22, 2007
THURSDAY...small southerly swell will continue with infrequent sets near 3ft at select spots.
recent buoy observations from the southern buoys are indicating that a small south swell has moved in. general observations are showing wave periods of 12-14sec with heights of near three.
the source was generated from a system east of new zealand over the weekend with winds near 50mph over a three day stretch. the result will keep the swell around into the weekend keeping conditions near the chest high range. with the light and variable winds coming up conditions should be good.
in the long run a much larger south-southwesterly swell is going to move in and may produce surf well above advisary levels.
the call is for surf in the 2-3ft range with light trades. all in all there have been worse surfing days.
Posted by megaprober at 09:22 PM
August 12, 2007
hurricane flossie
MONDAY...small surf for the start of the week with a declining southerly swell and small easterly swell from the trades. that would be the call for most of the week with the exception of hurricane flossie.
recent models are suggesting that hurricane flossie will pass south of the big island to within 100 miles as a catagory 1 storm. the forecast on this system has been fairly erronous as it never originally called for it to intesify into a catagory 4 hurricane as it has over the last 48hrs. hence this system should be monitored closely as it could steamroll the islands over the next two days causing widespread flooding and high winds.
surf produced from this system will vary depending on posistion and intensity. best guess is that it will rapidly decrease in strength over the next few days and pass the big island with winds near 90mph. surf produced on the big island will stormy and large probably over 10ft starting late monday commanding a high surf warning for south and east shores. other islands may see surf in the 2-4ft range with possible larger sets on tuesday into thursday. surf will be of the short period type and possible a bit unorganized.
on kauai for the week next report on august 18th.
Posted by megaprober at 06:40 PM