November 29, 2007
massive waves in store
FRIDAY...rising new swell from the west-northwest that will be the precurser of a much larger swell that may arrive near dusk.
a new long period swell will fill in out 315deg relative to oahu during the day that will be followed by a much larger swell. the swell arriving near dusk will push waves to near the warning level of 25ft along the north shore and 15ft along the west shore. the system resposible was a powerful storm that set up just west of the dateline and has moved in the dirction of oahu. surf was generated by two sources, first in the initial stages of the system farther away and then later as the storm moved much closer to the islands.
look for rapidly rising surf near the end of the day with surf starting to break on the outer reefs and pushing hard and washing out most of the usual breaks. winds may be variable thus seabreezes may develop in the afternoon.
Posted by megaprober at 08:16 PM
November 19, 2007
TUESDAY...surf will hang in there in the 3-5ft range at select spots aolg northern and eastern shores
primary swell is registering from all the north-northeast on the northern buoys. the waimea buoy is showing significant wave energy in the 10ft range with 10-14sec wave period. surf along the north and east shores will likely drop somewhat on tuesday and bottom out near 4ft at most locations before another large north-northwest swell moves in arounds mid-week. conditions may not be favorable along the north shore due to the unusual northerly component in the winds. eastern shores are likely to continue to see larger than usual surf due to the easterly componenet in the swell.
Posted by megaprober at 06:29 PM
November 06, 2007
WEDNESDAY...surf will be on the rise slightly along northern shores as a small northwest swell arrives out of 330deg with 15sec periods.
the swell was generated by a small system that formed south of the aleutain islands and spun off quickly into the gulf of alaska. past weather charts are showing seas of near 20ft generated by winds of 35mph. with a given travel distance of over 1500nm, there is a good chance that waves will be small and barely ridable at most of the deeper reefs.
south shores will continue with declining surf in the 2-4ft range from the large storm system last week that generated the large south swell from sunday through thursday.
locally the kona low is continuing to move southwest allowing for one more day of weak winds early in the morning possibly giving way to seabreezes.
look for 1-2ft surf along northern shores and 2-3ft surf along southern shores with smooth and glassy conditions in the morning.
Posted by megaprober at 05:59 PM